Litecoin price hits $400 all-time high, but LTC rally at risk of overheating

Litecoin (LTC) has damaged the $400 mark, reaching a brand new all-time excessive value of $414 on Bitstamp on Monday. 

The issue with shopping for Litecoin is that it has turn into too costly in a little or no interval. The world’s Tenth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is price 215% greater than it was in the beginning of this yr, hovering from $124.42 to a brand new report excessive of $413.90.

Its huge rally has crushed conventional markets on a year-to-date timeframe, with many unbiased analysts now predicting the transfer to increase towards $500.

Rotational buying and selling

Eye-popping returns within the Litecoin market got here on the heels of a broad upside transfer within the cryptocurrency market. The silver crypto’s high altcoin rivals, together with Ether (ETH), XRP, Cardano (ADA) and plenty of others, posted higher earnings, with Dogecoin (DOGE), a joke cryptocurrency, rising by greater than 17,000% YTD at one level.

Jason Lau, chief working officer of OKCoin — a San Francisco-based crypto service enterprise — highlighted a brewing inverse correlation between Litecoin and Dogecoin, noting that the DOGE/USD alternate charges dropped by 12% within the interval that noticed the LTC/USD alternate charges popping larger by 12%.

So… are folks rotating from$DOGE (-12%) into $LTC (+18%)?? https://t.co/DQmWqXu5fp pic.twitter.com/l3GH2cSbic

— Jason Lau (@jasonklau) May 10, 2021

In the meantime, the Litecoin Dominance Index, a metric that measures Litecoin’s power in opposition to the remainder of the cryptocurrency market, elevated from 0.96% on Sunday to as excessive as 1.11% on Monday. That additional displays a sentimental shift to the Litecoin markets as different different cryptocurrency rallies present indicators of cooling off.

However Litecoin is now grappling with the identical overvaluation dangers that precipitated Dogecoin’s value to crash by as much as 33% within the earlier classes. On the core of this bearish analogy lies a basic momentum oscillator indicator, dubbed because the Relative Power Index (RSI), that has traditionally predicted potential value reversals in world markets. It now tells the identical story about Litecoin.

Litecoin overbought?

The LTC/USD day by day chart reveals its RSI at an inflection stage close to 79.02. That’s 9 factors above the overbought threshold, which has earlier led to cost corrections. 

Sometimes, a short-term pattern reversal within the Litecoin market — when its RSI tops out — leads the value to check the 20-day exponential shifting common (the inexperienced wave) as interim assist. In the meantime, an prolonged sell-off prompts merchants to deal with the 50-day easy shifting common (the blue wave) appearing as the first draw back goal.

Due to this fact, a possible pullback following the current explosive transfer dangers sending LTC/USD to $252–$310 primarily based on present shifting common valuations.

Macroeconomic catalysts

Away from technicals, the macroeconomic catalysts proceed to assist cryptocurrency markets on the entire.

A study carried out by Charles Schwab confirmed that greater than 51% of Millennials and Era Z buyers would extra probably put money into cryptocurrencies than conventional shares. Their pursuits within the rising digital property sector have surged within the wake of inflation and greenback devaluation fears, particularly because the central banks world wide reply to the coronavirus pandemic with easing financial insurance policies.

The US Federal Reserve, as an example, has clarified that it will proceed its $120-billion month-to-month asset buy program whereas maintaining benchmark charges close to zero at the very least till 2023. That has diminished the chance prices of holding conventional protected havens like bonds and {dollars} amongst regional buyers.

In the meantime, the correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and Litecoin stands close to 0.40, in accordance with data collected from Crypto Watch.